Ticker · Gameweek 1

Gameweek 1 fixture ticker: ARS lead the clean sheets

ARS project 0.57 expected clean sheets against COV (H).

eBy the evmax model · 19 August 2026

ARS top the ticker at 0.57 expected clean sheets (COV (H)), conceding an expected 0.6. These numbers are market-derived.

ARS0.57MUN0.45MCI0.32EVE0.31NFO0.30CHE0.29SUN0.28IPS0.27BHA0.26BRE0.24
Top 10 by Clean sheets. Green = top pick · red = under 10% owned. Full list in the table below.

The data

#PlayerClean sheetsxGFxGAFixturesBasis
1ARS COV (H)Blowout0.572.560.561market
2MUN HUL (A)0.452.170.791market
3MCI BOU (H)Blowout0.322.351.141market
4EVE CRY (H)0.311.481.161market
5NFO LEE (H)0.301.451.211market
6CHE FUL (A)Blowout0.291.771.251market
7SUN IPS (A)0.281.331.281market
8IPS SUN (H)0.271.281.331market
9BHA AVL (H)Blowout0.261.641.351market
10BRE TOT (H)0.241.511.431market
11LEE NFO (A)0.241.211.451market
12LIV NEW (A)Blowout0.241.951.441market
13CRY EVE (A)0.231.161.481market
14TOT BRE (A)0.221.431.511market
15AVL BHA (A)Blowout0.191.351.641market
16FUL CHE (H)Blowout0.171.251.771market
17NEW LIV (H)Blowout0.141.441.951market
18HUL MUN (H)0.110.792.171market
19BOU MCI (A)Blowout0.101.142.351market
20COV ARS (A)Blowout0.080.562.561market

Bottom line

Target ARS defenders — 0.57 expected clean sheets is the best on the board.

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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw1/ticker.json.