Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidLIV

Wirtz

MID · £7.3m · Gameweek 7
5.17xPts0.71pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 11
3625.25.04.45.2
GW4 3 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 5.2 projected · GW8 5.0 projected · GW9 4.4 projected · GW10 5.2 projected
GW45678910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank12thcaptain EV10.33owned5.2%season20 ptspts/£m so far2.74
attack 4.1clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.7= 5.2 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 36%ceiling 11
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (36% of simulations), ceiling 11 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.17
Captain EV10.33
Top 15% of sims, average13.12
Projected pts/£m0.708
Expected bonus (per match)0.72
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.065
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£7.3m
Ownership5.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank12 / 71
Season points (minutes)20 (467′)
Realized pts/£m2.74
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/366.json.