{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 366,
  "name": "Wirtz",
  "web_name": "Wirtz",
  "team": "LIV",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 7.3,
  "ownership_pct": 5.2,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 5.17,
    "captain_ev": 10.33,
    "ceiling": 13.12,
    "value": 0.708,
    "bonus": 0.72,
    "defcon": 0.13,
    "p_defcon": 0.065,
    "cs_points": 0.22,
    "start_prob": 0.9946617364451195
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 20,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 467,
    "realized_ppm": 2.74
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 6559,
    "out_event": 24347
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 12,
    "own_rank": 71,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 59
  },
  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 5.17,
    "8": 5.05,
    "9": 4.38,
    "10": 5.21,
    "11": 5.09
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 62,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 4,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 70,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 65,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.489,
      "lam_against": 1.62,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "BHA",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-22T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "11": 230,
      "13": 192,
      "1": 594,
      "12": 188,
      "2": 3582,
      "5": 566,
      "15": 191,
      "6": 429,
      "16": 105,
      "7": 244,
      "9": 636,
      "8": 345,
      "19": 19,
      "3": 1153,
      "0": 168,
      "10": 667,
      "14": 163,
      "-1": 38,
      "4": 367,
      "17": 24,
      "20": 27,
      "25": 4,
      "18": 45,
      "21": 10,
      "24": 3,
      "29": 1,
      "-2": 4,
      "22": 2,
      "28": 1,
      "23": 2
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 2,
    "median": 3,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 11,
    "p_haul": 0.1874,
    "p_blank": 0.4386
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/366-wirtz/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}