Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetBRE

Jensen

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
0.53xPts0.10pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
610.50.50.50.50.5
GW1 6 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.5 projected · GW8 0.5 projected · GW9 0.5 projected · GW10 0.5 projected · GW11 0.5 projected
GW167891011
LIVHULNFOBHAEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank324thcaptain EV1.05owned0.1%season7 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 74%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (74% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.53
Captain EV1.05
Top 15% of sims, average2.86
Projected pts/£m0.098
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.005
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.10
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank324 / 432
Season points (minutes)7 (89′)
Realized pts/£m1.30
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/97.json.