Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBRE

Damsgaard

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.35. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

1.37xPts0.25pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
8131.41.41.41.3
GW3 8 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW7 1.4 projected · GW8 1.4 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.3 projected
GW34578910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank235thcaptain EV2.73owned0.3%season16 ptspts/£m so far2.96
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 1.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 58%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (58% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.37
Captain EV2.73
Top 15% of sims, average6.10
Projected pts/£m0.254
Expected bonus (per match)0.22
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.044
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.08
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.35
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank235 / 289
Season points (minutes)16 (283′)
Realized pts/£m2.96
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/96.json.