Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Pinnock

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
1.99xPts0.44pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2822.02.62.72.6
GW4 2 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.6 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank183rdcaptain EV3.98owned0.1%season16 ptspts/£m so far3.56
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.4defence 0.7bonus 0.0= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 29%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (29% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.99
Captain EV3.98
Top 15% of sims, average6.27
Projected pts/£m0.442
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.65
P(DefCon threshold)0.323
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.39
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.79
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank183 / 469
Season points (minutes)16 (372′)
Realized pts/£m3.56
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/91.json.