Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetBRE

Hickey

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
0.68xPts0.15pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
1110.70.70.80.7
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.7 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.8 projected · GW10 0.7 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank304thcaptain EV1.36owned0.1%season6 ptspts/£m so far1.33
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 70%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (70% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.68
Captain EV1.36
Top 15% of sims, average3.64
Projected pts/£m0.151
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.052
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.17
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank304 / 425
Season points (minutes)6 (197′)
Realized pts/£m1.33
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/90.json.