Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBRE

Kayode

DEF · £4.6m · Gameweek 7
2.41xPts0.52pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1602.42.72.62.3
GW4 1 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 2.4 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 2.6 projected · GW10 2.3 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank150thcaptain EV4.82owned7.3%season23 ptspts/£m so far5.00
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.8defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 27%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (27% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.41
Captain EV4.82
Top 15% of sims, average7.44
Projected pts/£m0.524
Expected bonus (per match)0.08
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.049
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.75
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.83
Price£4.6m
Ownership7.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank150 / 52
Season points (minutes)23 (384′)
Realized pts/£m5.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/88.json.