Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidBRE

Lewis-Potter

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
3.33xPts0.60pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
1323.33.43.33.1
GW4 1 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.3 projected · GW8 3.4 projected · GW9 3.3 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank82ndcaptain EV6.67owned1.6%season24 ptspts/£m so far4.36
attack 2.8clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 3.3 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 44%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (44% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.33
Captain EV6.67
Top 15% of sims, average8.89
Projected pts/£m0.605
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.15
P(DefCon threshold)0.077
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.23
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank82 / 137
Season points (minutes)24 (472′)
Realized pts/£m4.36
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/86.json.