Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidBOU

Tavernier

MID · £6.1m · Gameweek 7
5.24xPts0.86pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 11
8215.24.85.15.1
GW4 8 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 5.2 projected · GW8 4.8 projected · GW9 5.1 projected · GW10 5.1 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank11thcaptain EV10.47owned7.3%season32 ptspts/£m so far5.25
attack 4.0clean sheet 0.3defence 0.2bonus 0.7= 5.2 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 31%ceiling 11
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (31% of simulations), ceiling 11 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.24
Captain EV10.47
Top 15% of sims, average13.01
Projected pts/£m0.859
Expected bonus (per match)0.74
DefCon points (per match)0.20
P(DefCon threshold)0.099
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.34
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£6.1m
Ownership7.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank11 / 53
Season points (minutes)32 (496′)
Realized pts/£m5.25
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/68.json.