Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetCOV

Mfuni

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
0.62xPts0.15pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
670.60.80.90.80.9
GW5 6 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.8 projected · GW9 0.9 projected · GW10 0.8 projected · GW11 0.9 projected
GW567891011
TOTFULSUNEVECRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank314thcaptain EV1.24owned0.1%season13 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 68%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (68% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.62
Captain EV1.24
Top 15% of sims, average3.23
Projected pts/£m0.155
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.046
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.09
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.22
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank314 / 457
Season points (minutes)13 (97′)
Realized pts/£m3.25
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/656.json.