Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetEVE
Graham
0.74xPts0.16pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.70.70.70.80.7
GW7891011
CHEARSNEWCOVBRE
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank292ndcaptain EV1.49owned0.1%season0 pts
attack 0.7clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 62%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 0.74 |
| Captain EV | 1.49 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 3.31 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.164 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.03 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.05 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.25 |
| Price | £4.5m |
| Ownership | 0.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 292 / 419 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (0′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/654.json.