Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetFUL

Affengruber

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.79xPts0.62pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
8432.82.52.42.4
GW4 8 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.8 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.4 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank118thcaptain EV5.59owned0.6%season15 ptspts/£m so far3.33
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.9defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 2.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 33%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (33% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.79
Captain EV5.59
Top 15% of sims, average8.48
Projected pts/£m0.620
Expected bonus (per match)0.09
DefCon points (per match)0.50
P(DefCon threshold)0.252
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.93
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.66
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank118 / 222
Season points (minutes)15 (270′)
Realized pts/£m3.33
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/650.json.