Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidHUL

Sorba Thomas

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
1.62xPts0.29pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1271.61.71.91.6
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 1.7 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.6 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank216thcaptain EV3.24owned0.0%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.00
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 46%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (46% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.62
Captain EV3.24
Top 15% of sims, average6.41
Projected pts/£m0.295
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.07
P(DefCon threshold)0.036
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.08
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.49
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank216 / 649
Season points (minutes)11 (204′)
Realized pts/£m2.00
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/642.json.