Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidLIV

Barcola

MID · £8.0m · Gameweek 7
2.69xPts0.34pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
3322.72.62.42.7
GW4 3 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.7 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank125thcaptain EV5.38owned2.0%season9 ptspts/£m so far1.12
attack 2.2clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 2.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 29%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (29% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.69
Captain EV5.38
Top 15% of sims, average9.22
Projected pts/£m0.336
Expected bonus (per match)0.30
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.025
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.14
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.66
Price£8.0m
Ownership2.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank125 / 126
Season points (minutes)9 (255′)
Realized pts/£m1.12
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/627.json.