Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetSUN

Methalie

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
0.78xPts0.17pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
-110.80.90.90.90.8
GW5 -1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.8 projected · GW8 0.9 projected · GW9 0.9 projected · GW10 0.9 projected · GW11 0.8 projected
GW567891011
BOULEECOVCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank278thcaptain EV1.57owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 66%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (66% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.78
Captain EV1.57
Top 15% of sims, average4.06
Projected pts/£m0.173
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.026
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.19
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.22
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank278 / 610
Season points (minutes)0 (107′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/612.json.