Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidBOU

Hill

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
4.29xPts0.78pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
2424.33.54.03.9
GW4 2 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 4.3 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 4.0 projected · GW10 3.9 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank30thcaptain EV8.59owned0.8%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.55
attack 2.0clean sheet 1.3defence 0.8bonus 0.2= 4.3 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 18%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (18% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.29
Captain EV8.59
Top 15% of sims, average9.80
Projected pts/£m0.780
Expected bonus (per match)0.25
DefCon points (per match)0.77
P(DefCon threshold)0.385
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.32
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank30 / 202
Season points (minutes)14 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.55
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/60.json.