Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Elvedi

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.68xPts0.60pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2612.72.62.62.6
GW4 2 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.7 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.6 projected · GW10 2.6 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank127thcaptain EV5.36owned0.1%season14 ptspts/£m so far3.11
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.8defence 0.3bonus 0.1= 2.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 24%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (24% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.68
Captain EV5.36
Top 15% of sims, average8.04
Projected pts/£m0.596
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.28
P(DefCon threshold)0.139
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.79
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.80
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank127 / 409
Season points (minutes)14 (411′)
Realized pts/£m3.11
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/598.json.