Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Ouattara

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
0.77xPts0.19pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
12100.81.41.51.4
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 10 points played · GW7 0.8 projected · GW8 1.4 projected · GW9 1.5 projected · GW10 1.4 projected
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank284thcaptain EV1.53owned0.9%season16 ptspts/£m so far4.00
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 56%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (56% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.77
Captain EV1.53
Top 15% of sims, average3.71
Projected pts/£m0.193
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.12
P(DefCon threshold)0.059
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.49
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank284 / 192
Season points (minutes)16 (221′)
Realized pts/£m4.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/592.json.