Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetCRY

Khalaili

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.91xPts0.58pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
7622.93.83.63.9
GW4 7 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.9 projected · GW8 3.8 projected · GW9 3.6 projected · GW10 3.9 projected
GW45678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank113thcaptain EV5.82owned0.3%season21 ptspts/£m so far4.20
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.5defence 0.6bonus 0.1= 2.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 24%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (24% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.91
Captain EV5.82
Top 15% of sims, average9.00
Projected pts/£m0.582
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.55
P(DefCon threshold)0.276
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.49
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.90
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank113 / 294
Season points (minutes)21 (469′)
Realized pts/£m4.20
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/588.json.