Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Mendy

DEF · £4.1m · Gameweek 7
2.15xPts0.52pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
8132.12.52.72.1
GW3 8 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.1 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.1 projected
GW34678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank173rdcaptain EV4.30owned6.2%season28 ptspts/£m so far6.83
attack 1.2clean sheet 0.5defence 0.4bonus 0.1= 2.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 34%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (34% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.15
Captain EV4.30
Top 15% of sims, average7.97
Projected pts/£m0.524
Expected bonus (per match)0.08
DefCon points (per match)0.44
P(DefCon threshold)0.221
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.47
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.77
Price£4.1m
Ownership6.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank173 / 63
Season points (minutes)28 (339′)
Realized pts/£m6.83
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/586.json.