Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetHUL

Herrington

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
0.64xPts0.16pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
1110.60.70.80.6
GW3 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.8 projected · GW10 0.6 projected
GW34578910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank309thcaptain EV1.27owned0.6%season5 ptspts/£m so far1.25
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 68%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (68% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.64
Captain EV1.27
Top 15% of sims, average3.26
Projected pts/£m0.160
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.07
P(DefCon threshold)0.036
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.22
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank309 / 226
Season points (minutes)5 (197′)
Realized pts/£m1.25
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/585.json.