Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidFUL

Gonzalo

FWD · £6.1m · Gameweek 7
6.44xPts1.06pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 13
2226.45.75.75.7
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 6.4 projected · GW8 5.7 projected · GW9 5.7 projected · GW10 5.7 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank3rdcaptain EV12.88owned7.2%season16 ptspts/£m so far2.62
attack 5.0bonus 1.4= 6.4 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 32%ceiling 13
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (32% of simulations), ceiling 13 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)6.44
Captain EV12.88
Top 15% of sims, average14.79
Projected pts/£m1.056
Expected bonus (per match)1.44
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.98
Price£6.1m
Ownership7.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank3 / 54
Season points (minutes)16 (511′)
Realized pts/£m2.62
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/569.json.