Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetBOU

Silva

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
4.75xPts0.95pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
3304.83.94.44.3
GW4 3 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 4.8 projected · GW8 3.9 projected · GW9 4.4 projected · GW10 4.3 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank18thcaptain EV9.50owned0.6%season13 ptspts/£m so far2.60
attack 2.5clean sheet 1.3defence 0.8bonus 0.2= 4.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 17%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (17% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.75
Captain EV9.50
Top 15% of sims, average11.43
Projected pts/£m0.950
Expected bonus (per match)0.21
DefCon points (per match)0.78
P(DefCon threshold)0.390
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.29
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.98
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank18 / 237
Season points (minutes)13 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.60
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/566.json.