Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetHUL

Morita

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
0.42xPts0.09pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
110.40.40.50.40.5
GW2 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.4 projected · GW8 0.4 projected · GW9 0.5 projected · GW10 0.4 projected · GW11 0.5 projected
GW267891011
FULBREIPSARSBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank335thcaptain EV0.83owned0.0%season2 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.0= 0.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 73%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (73% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.42
Captain EV0.83
Top 15% of sims, average2.07
Projected pts/£m0.086
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.003
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.01
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.11
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank335 / 620
Season points (minutes)2 (60′)
Realized pts/£m0.41
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/563.json.