Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetSUN

Meunier

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Groin injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.74. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

2.30xPts0.51pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2312.32.72.72.5
GW4 2 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.3 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.5 projected
GW45678910
BOULEECOVCHE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank162ndcaptain EV4.59owned0.3%season15 ptspts/£m so far3.33
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.7defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 2.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 29%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (29% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.30
Captain EV4.59
Top 15% of sims, average7.89
Projected pts/£m0.511
Expected bonus (per match)0.10
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.016
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.66
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.74
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank162 / 297
Season points (minutes)15 (429′)
Realized pts/£m3.33
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/541.json.