Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetSUN

Hume

DEF · £4.3m · Gameweek 7
1.64xPts0.38pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1111.62.02.01.8
GW3 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 2.0 projected · GW9 2.0 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW35678910
BOULEECOVCHE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank214thcaptain EV3.28owned2.3%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.56
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.4defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 47%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (47% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.64
Captain EV3.28
Top 15% of sims, average7.18
Projected pts/£m0.381
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.14
P(DefCon threshold)0.068
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.41
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.48
Price£4.3m
Ownership2.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank214 / 116
Season points (minutes)11 (296′)
Realized pts/£m2.56
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/534.json.