Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidTOT

Solanke

FWD · £5.8m · Gameweek 7
4.26xPts0.73pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 13
2274.33.13.53.3
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 4.3 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.3 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank32ndcaptain EV8.51owned1.1%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.41
attack 3.0bonus 1.2= 4.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 30%ceiling 13
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (30% of simulations), ceiling 13 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.26
Captain EV8.51
Top 15% of sims, average13.34
Projected pts/£m0.734
Expected bonus (per match)1.22
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.66
Price£5.8m
Ownership1.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank32 / 171
Season points (minutes)14 (260′)
Realized pts/£m2.41
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/526.json.