Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidTOT

Kudus

MID · £6.5m · Gameweek 7
1.45xPts0.22pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1431.41.21.21.2
GW4 1 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 1.4 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.2 projected · GW10 1.2 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank231stcaptain EV2.90owned0.2%season10 ptspts/£m so far1.54
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 1.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 60%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (60% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.45
Captain EV2.90
Top 15% of sims, average7.07
Projected pts/£m0.223
Expected bonus (per match)0.30
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.029
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.10
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£6.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank231 / 344
Season points (minutes)10 (188′)
Realized pts/£m1.54
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/512.json.