Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetTOT

Udogie

DEF · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
1.68xPts0.38pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1521.71.21.41.3
GW2 1 points played · GW3 5 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.3 projected
GW23678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank211thcaptain EV3.35owned0.3%season9 ptspts/£m so far2.05
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.6defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 51%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (51% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.68
Captain EV3.35
Top 15% of sims, average7.04
Projected pts/£m0.382
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.055
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.60
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.41
Price£4.4m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank211 / 306
Season points (minutes)9 (159′)
Realized pts/£m2.05
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/506.json.