Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetTOT

Van de Ven

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.87xPts0.57pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
6112.92.02.52.3
GW4 6 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.9 projected · GW8 2.0 projected · GW9 2.5 projected · GW10 2.3 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank115thcaptain EV5.74owned3.7%season17 ptspts/£m so far3.40
attack 1.5clean sheet 1.0defence 0.2bonus 0.2= 2.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 33%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (33% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.87
Captain EV5.74
Top 15% of sims, average9.38
Projected pts/£m0.574
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.19
P(DefCon threshold)0.096
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.99
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.64
Price£5.0m
Ownership3.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank115 / 93
Season points (minutes)17 (376′)
Realized pts/£m3.40
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/503.json.