Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidNFO

Ndoye

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
2.69xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 6
1172.73.43.23.1
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 2.7 projected · GW8 3.4 projected · GW9 3.2 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank126thcaptain EV5.38owned0.6%season22 ptspts/£m so far4.00
attack 2.4clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 2.7 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 53%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (53% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.69
Captain EV5.38
Top 15% of sims, average7.20
Projected pts/£m0.489
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.010
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.17
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank126 / 230
Season points (minutes)22 (387′)
Realized pts/£m4.00
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/483.json.