Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidMCI

Anderson

MID · £6.3m · Gameweek 7
3.71xPts0.59pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 7
5263.73.33.13.1
GW4 5 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 3.7 projected · GW8 3.3 projected · GW9 3.1 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank55thcaptain EV7.43owned3.9%season21 ptspts/£m so far3.33
attack 2.6clean sheet 0.4defence 0.5bonus 0.2= 3.7 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 27%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (27% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.71
Captain EV7.43
Top 15% of sims, average8.83
Projected pts/£m0.589
Expected bonus (per match)0.21
DefCon points (per match)0.48
P(DefCon threshold)0.238
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.42
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£6.3m
Ownership3.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank55 / 84
Season points (minutes)21 (503′)
Realized pts/£m3.33
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/481.json.