Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNFO

Aina

DEF · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
1.89xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1201.92.62.32.2
GW3 1 points played · GW4 2 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.3 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW34678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank189thcaptain EV3.79owned2.0%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.82
attack 1.1clean sheet 0.5defence 0.2bonus 0.0= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 28%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (28% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.89
Captain EV3.79
Top 15% of sims, average6.56
Projected pts/£m0.430
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.23
P(DefCon threshold)0.117
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.52
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.78
Price£4.4m
Ownership2.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank189 / 125
Season points (minutes)8 (388′)
Realized pts/£m1.82
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/473.json.