Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNFO

Sels

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.53xPts0.51pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
3222.53.32.92.7
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 3.3 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank140thcaptain EV5.06owned1.5%season16 ptspts/£m so far3.20
attack 1.6clean sheet 0.7bonus 0.3= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 30%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (30% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.53
Captain EV5.06
Top 15% of sims, average8.24
Projected pts/£m0.506
Expected bonus (per match)0.29
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.65
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.0m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank140 / 147
Season points (minutes)16 (540′)
Realized pts/£m3.20
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/467.json.