Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNEW

Steur

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
0.97xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1231.00.90.90.9
GW3 1 points played · GW4 2 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW7 1.0 projected · GW8 0.9 projected · GW9 0.9 projected · GW10 0.9 projected
GW34578910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank259thcaptain EV1.95owned0.1%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.63
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 59%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (59% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.97
Captain EV1.95
Top 15% of sims, average4.15
Projected pts/£m0.198
Expected bonus (per match)0.08
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.028
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.07
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.31
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank259 / 481
Season points (minutes)8 (223′)
Realized pts/£m1.63
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/462.json.