Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidNEW
Barnes
4.04xPts0.66pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 10
2924.03.93.93.6
GW45678910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank41stcaptain EV8.08owned8.1%season30 ptspts/£m so far4.92
attack 3.2clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.5= 4.0 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 38%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 4.04 |
| Captain EV | 8.08 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 11.28 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.662 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.47 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.08 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.038 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.24 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.99 |
| Price | £6.1m |
| Ownership | 8.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 41 / 44 |
| Season points (minutes) | 30 (540′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 4.92 |
| Model tier | A · Mid |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/453.json.