Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetNEW

Livramento

DEF · £4.9m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Unspecified injury - 50% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.00. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

0.11xPts0.02pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 0
130.10.10.10.10.1
GW3 1 points played · GW4 3 points played · GW7 0.1 projected · GW8 0.1 projected · GW9 0.1 projected · GW10 0.1 projected · GW11 0.1 projected
GW347891011
AVLCRYEVEFULARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank483rdcaptain EV0.22owned0.1%season4 pts
attack 0.1clean sheet 0.0= 0.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 91%ceiling 0
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (91% of simulations), ceiling 0 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.11
Captain EV0.22
Top 15% of sims, average0.75
Projected pts/£m0.022
Expected bonus (per match)0.00
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.01
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.00
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank483 / 439
Season points (minutes)4 (33′)
Realized pts/£m0.82
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/450.json.