Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetNEW

Botman

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.61xPts0.72pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
2483.63.73.83.4
GW4 2 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 8 points played · GW7 3.6 projected · GW8 3.7 projected · GW9 3.8 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank62ndcaptain EV7.22owned0.8%season23 ptspts/£m so far4.60
attack 1.6clean sheet 1.0defence 0.9bonus 0.1= 3.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 16%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (16% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.61
Captain EV7.22
Top 15% of sims, average9.13
Projected pts/£m0.722
Expected bonus (per match)0.13
DefCon points (per match)0.87
P(DefCon threshold)0.436
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.97
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank62 / 197
Season points (minutes)23 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.60
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/447.json.