Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidMUN

Mainoo

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.68. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

2.39xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
4442.42.52.32.4
GW4 4 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 2.4 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.3 projected · GW10 2.4 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank153rdcaptain EV4.78owned1.5%season26 ptspts/£m so far4.73
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.1defence 0.6bonus 0.1= 2.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 30%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (30% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.39
Captain EV4.78
Top 15% of sims, average6.27
Projected pts/£m0.435
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.64
P(DefCon threshold)0.319
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.68
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank153 / 143
Season points (minutes)26 (444′)
Realized pts/£m4.73
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/432.json.