Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidMUN

Amad

MID · £5.7m · Gameweek 7
1.11xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
11.11.21.11.21.1
GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.2 projected · GW11 1.1 projected
GW67891011
LEEBOUCHEAVLLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank249thcaptain EV2.21owned0.3%season1 pts
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 60%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (60% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.11
Captain EV2.21
Top 15% of sims, average5.00
Projected pts/£m0.195
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.06
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£5.7m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank249 / 281
Season points (minutes)1 (58′)
Realized pts/£m0.18
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/431.json.