Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetMUN

Dalot

DEF · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
2.00xPts0.42pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
2202.02.21.92.2
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 2.2 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank182ndcaptain EV4.00owned1.5%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.67
attack 1.2clean sheet 0.6defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 36%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (36% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.00
Captain EV4.00
Top 15% of sims, average7.74
Projected pts/£m0.417
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.052
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.55
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.64
Price£4.8m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank182 / 140
Season points (minutes)8 (377′)
Realized pts/£m1.67
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/417.json.