Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidAVL

Buendía

MID · £5.9m · Gameweek 7
4.57xPts0.78pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 10
21244.64.04.54.3
GW4 2 points played · GW5 12 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 4.6 projected · GW8 4.0 projected · GW9 4.5 projected · GW10 4.3 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank21stcaptain EV9.14owned1.2%season25 ptspts/£m so far4.24
attack 3.7clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.6= 4.6 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 38%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (38% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.57
Captain EV9.14
Top 15% of sims, average12.30
Projected pts/£m0.775
Expected bonus (per match)0.55
DefCon points (per match)0.15
P(DefCon threshold)0.077
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.9m
Ownership1.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank21 / 162
Season points (minutes)25 (464′)
Realized pts/£m4.24
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/41.json.