Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidTOT

Sávio

MID · £6.5m · Gameweek 7
4.82xPts0.74pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 12
3224.83.54.03.7
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 4.8 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 4.0 projected · GW10 3.7 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank15thcaptain EV9.65owned0.7%season10 ptspts/£m so far1.54
attack 3.6clean sheet 0.3defence 0.0bonus 0.8= 4.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 19%ceiling 12
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (19% of simulations), ceiling 12 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.82
Captain EV9.65
Top 15% of sims, average13.62
Projected pts/£m0.742
Expected bonus (per match)0.85
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.013
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.30
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.79
Price£6.5m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank15 / 218
Season points (minutes)10 (330′)
Realized pts/£m1.54
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/403.json.