Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidMCI

Foden

MID · £6.8m · Gameweek 7
1.89xPts0.28pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
91-21.91.61.51.5
GW2 9 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW4 -2 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 1.6 projected · GW9 1.5 projected · GW10 1.5 projected
GW23478910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank191stcaptain EV3.77owned1.5%season9 ptspts/£m so far1.32
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.3= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 55%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (55% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.89
Captain EV3.77
Top 15% of sims, average8.62
Projected pts/£m0.278
Expected bonus (per match)0.30
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.011
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.37
Price£6.8m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank191 / 142
Season points (minutes)9 (217′)
Realized pts/£m1.32
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/398.json.