Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetLIV

Koumas

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.18xPts0.24pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1121.21.21.11.2
GW3 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 1.2 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.2 projected
GW35678910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank244thcaptain EV2.36owned0.0%season5 ptspts/£m so far1.00
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 1.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 59%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (59% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.18
Captain EV2.36
Top 15% of sims, average5.49
Projected pts/£m0.236
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.007
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.06
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank244 / 596
Season points (minutes)5 (96′)
Realized pts/£m1.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/381.json.