Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidLIV

Ngumoha

MID · £5.7m · Gameweek 7
0.63xPts0.11pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
1110.60.70.60.6
GW2 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.6 projected · GW10 0.6 projected
GW24678910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank311thcaptain EV1.26owned0.4%season5 ptspts/£m so far0.88
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 75%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (75% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.63
Captain EV1.26
Top 15% of sims, average3.57
Projected pts/£m0.111
Expected bonus (per match)0.14
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.09
Price£5.7m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank311 / 271
Season points (minutes)5 (114′)
Realized pts/£m0.88
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/369.json.