Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetLIV

Tsimikas

DEF · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
0.55xPts0.11pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
110.60.60.50.60.6
GW2 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.6 projected · GW9 0.5 projected · GW10 0.6 projected · GW11 0.6 projected
GW247891011
BREBHAARSCRYMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank323rdcaptain EV1.11owned0.1%season2 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 70%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (70% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.55
Captain EV1.11
Top 15% of sims, average2.85
Projected pts/£m0.112
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.009
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.11
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.18
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank323 / 489
Season points (minutes)2 (64′)
Realized pts/£m0.41
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/364.json.