Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetLIV

Kerkez

DEF · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
2.50xPts0.47pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1612.52.62.42.8
GW4 1 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.8 projected
GW45678910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank141stcaptain EV5.00owned2.1%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.64
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.7defence 0.2bonus 0.1= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 25%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (25% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.50
Captain EV5.00
Top 15% of sims, average7.66
Projected pts/£m0.472
Expected bonus (per match)0.09
DefCon points (per match)0.24
P(DefCon threshold)0.119
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.74
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.82
Price£5.3m
Ownership2.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank141 / 121
Season points (minutes)14 (475′)
Realized pts/£m2.64
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/358.json.