Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Tanaka

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
2.70xPts0.55pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
6212.72.62.62.6
GW4 6 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.7 projected · GW8 2.6 projected · GW9 2.6 projected · GW10 2.6 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank124thcaptain EV5.41owned0.3%season15 ptspts/£m so far3.06
attack 2.1clean sheet 0.2defence 0.2bonus 0.1= 2.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 32%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (32% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.70
Captain EV5.41
Top 15% of sims, average7.79
Projected pts/£m0.551
Expected bonus (per match)0.14
DefCon points (per match)0.25
P(DefCon threshold)0.127
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.20
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.80
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank124 / 305
Season points (minutes)15 (325′)
Realized pts/£m3.06
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/345.json.